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Risk and problem-solving

Writing a plan B for the one activity that cannot slip

By Review.LivePublished 3 min readHow we write

On Wednesday the electrical foreman walks the project manager through the weekend shutdown at a two-storey call centre: disconnection at 06:00 Saturday, the new wing connected, power back by 16:00 Sunday, 300 agents in at 07:00 Monday. Asked what happens if the new equipment fails its tests, he says they will figure it out on the day.

An orange tower crane cab and lattice boom stand against an overcast sky.
Photo: Ryutaro Uozumi on Unsplash

Write the backup down before the day, on one page: how the activity could fail, the trigger that calls the backup, the latest time to decide, the resources already booked and the one person who decides. Under pressure, a team keeps trying plan A past the point where a backup could still work, because nobody is sure who may call it. Planning the shutdown itself is covered in coordinating a utility shutdown.

  1. List how it could fail, with the foreman and the supplier: weather, a machine, a missing crew, a failed test, a late delivery or a late authority.
  2. Write a trigger anyone can check for each: "utility crew not confirmed by Thursday 12:00", not "if it goes badly".
  3. Set two decision times: a go/no-go before anything is taken apart, and the latest moment a switch to the backup still works.
  4. Book the backup before the day: equipment delivered and tested, a second crew on call, a fallback date reserved.
  5. Name one person who decides, with authority to spend what the backup costs.
  6. Walk the plan two days before with the foreman, the supplier and the owner's contact, so everyone reads the triggers the same way.

Common mistakes

  • A backup that needs the same crew, machine or supplier as plan A.
  • A decision time with nobody named to make the call.
  • Renting the backup but never running it before the day.
  • Setting the decision time so late that the backup can no longer arrive.

Checklist

A plan B on one page

  • The activity, and why it cannot slip
  • Each way it could fail, with a trigger anyone can check
  • A go/no-go time and a latest time to switch
  • The backup booked and tested; a fallback date reserved
  • One person who decides, with a spending limit
  • Who is told at each decision time

Check your understanding

At 05:00, three conditions are met, but nobody ran the generator on Friday. The foreman is sure the new equipment will pass. Do you go ahead?

Show the answer
No. The generator protects the one outcome you cannot accept, a building without power on Monday, and an untested backup may not work. Run it before the disconnection or use the reserved weekend: confidence in plan A is not one of the conditions.